Friday, October 22, 2021

COVID-19 Cases In Northeast Health District Decline For Seventh Week; Confirmed Deaths From Disease Increase

***Both Oconee And Clarke Added Confirmed Deaths***

The 10-county Northeast Health District added 631 new cases of COVID-19 in the week ending on Friday, down from 739 a week earlier, and 25 new confirmed deaths from the disease, up from 22 last week.

One of the confirmed deaths was in Oconee County, and one was in Clarke County, as had been the case a week ago.

Both counties also added two “probable” deaths from the disease.

The average number of added cases in the District was 90.1 per day, compared with 105.6 per day in the week ending Oct. 15.

This is the seventh week in a row that the average number of cases per day has dropped.

Oconee County added 56 cases in the week ending on Friday, down from 59 on Friday of last week.

Clarke County added 93 new cases on Friday, down from 100 on Friday of last week.

Rolling Averages

The seven-day rolling average of added cases in Oconee County on Friday per 100,000 population was 17.1, and it was 10.3 in Clarke County.

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A week ago those rolling averages had been 20.5 in Oconee County and 11.5 in Clarke County.

The unstandardized rolling average of added cases in Oconee County on Friday was 7.1, down from 9.4 a week earlier.

In Clarke County, the unstandardized seven-day rolling average of added cases on Friday was 13.3, down from 14.9 a week earlier.

The Oconee County confirmed death was of a 90-plus-year-old female without a chronic condition. The county now has 72 confirmed COVID-19 deaths, going back to February of 2020.

The Clarke County death were of a 64-year-old male without a chronic condition. The death brings to 166 the number of Clarke County since the outbreak of the pandemic.

The remaining confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the last week were in Barrow (5), Elbert (1), Jackson (6), Madison (2), Morgan (1), and Walton (8) counties.

The Northeast Health District now has recorded 1,190 deaths from COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic.

The Northeast Health District had 113 “probable” deaths from COVID-19 on Friday, an increase of six from the week earlier.

In addition to the two added in both Oconee and Clarke counties, a “probable" death was recorded in Greene County and in Walton County.

Oconee County now has nine “probable” deaths from COVID-19, and Clarke County has eight.

These data are from the Friday Daily Status Report of the Department of Public Health.

Oconee County Schools

As of the end of classes on Thursday, Oconee County Schools had recorded 370 cases of COVID-19 since the beginning of the school year on Aug. 4, based on data released by the schools in response to open records requests filed by a group of parents.

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The parents are reporting the released data on the Safety First Facebook page, but they also have released the data to me for my own analysis. 

As of the beginning of the 11th full week of classes on Oct. 18, the number of reported cases had been 361, up by six from Oct. 11. Oconee County Schools added nine cases in the four days ending on Thursday.

Oconee County Schools releases to the public only the number of Active Cases in the schools at the end of the class week.

In its report on Friday, Oconee County Schools reported 14 Active COVID-19 Cases, up from 10 the week earlier.

School Age Data, Test Positivity Rates

Oconee County overall added 15 cases among those aged 5 to 17 in the week ending at the beginning of the day on Oct 21, according to the School Aged COVID-19 Surveillance Data released by the Department of Public Health on Friday.

The report showed an addition of 58 cases across all age groups, with 10 of them for children under five years of age, two of them for persons aged 18 to 22, and the remaining 31 for those persons 23 years old and older.

The percentages of added cases that were for persons 5 to 17 years old was 25.9, up from 24.7 the week earlier.

The percentage of cases for those 0 to 4 years old increased to 17.2 percent from 4.7 percent in the week ending Oct. 14, when only four cases in that age bracket were added.

The percentage of cases for those 23 years old or older was 53.4, compared with 67.1 a week earlier.

These figures are based on the rapid antigen and molecular tests results.

In Oconee County, the seven-day rolling average of the positivity rate of the molecular PCR test for COVID-19 was 3.2 percent, down from 9.4 percent on Friday of last week.

In Clarke County on Friday, the seven-day rolling average of the positivity rate of PCR tests was 4.2, down from 5.7 on Oct. 15.

University, Hospital Reports

The University of Georgia on Wednesday, in its COVID-19 Health and Exposure Updates, reported 34 positive COVID-19 tests, up from 28 the previous week.

The report covered the period of Oct. 11 to Oct. 17.

The University reported that 622 walk-in tests were performed on individuals by the University Health Center, down from 692 a week earlier, and eight of the tests last week came back positive.

The positivity rate for the walk-in tests was 1.4 percent, compared with 0.4 percent a week earlier.

The Georgia Hospital Association and the Georgia Emergency Management Agency reported on Friday that the number of COVID-19 patients at area hospitals was 84, down from 92 a week earlier.

The number of ICU beds in use was 61, compared with 74 a week earlier, and the number of adult ventilators in use was 44, down from 52 a week earlier.

The listed number of available ICU beds at area hospitals is 70, and the hospitals expand that number as demand increases.

Vaccine Updates

According to the raw data behind the Department of Public Health Vaccine Distribution Dashboard for Friday, 45.6 percent of the residents of the Northeast Health District had at least one dose of a vaccine and 42.1 percent were fully vaccinated.

Those percentages hardly moved in recent weeks. Last week, those figures were 45.4 percent with at least one dose of the vaccine and 41.7 percent fully vaccinated.

In Oconee County, 56.9 percent of the population has at least one dose and 53.5 percent is fully vaccinated. Those figures had been 56.8 percent and 53.1 percent last week.

In Clarke County, 47.8 percent of the population has as least one dose and 44.2 percent is fully vaccinated. Those figures were 47.6 percent and 43.9 percent last week.

These figures differ from those on the Vaccine Dashboard because the Department of Public Health uses old projections--and lower numbers--for the populations of the two counties.

Vaccine Administrations

The Northeast Health District added only 6,315 vaccinations in the week ending on Friday, compared with 7,104 added in the week ending on Oct. 15.

Oconee County added 597 new vaccinations in the last seven days ending on Friday, compared with 650 added the week earlier.

Clarke County added 1,736 new vaccinations in the last seven days, compared with 1,899 a week earlier.

The Department of Public Health is not providing data on the number of added vaccination that are boosters.

State, National Comparisons

Georgia, with 47.6 percent of its population fully vaccinated, ranks 10th from the bottom among the 50 states, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,

Nationally, the percentage of persons fully vaccinated was nearly 10 percentage points higher on Friday at 57.3 percent.

At present, the vaccine is being administered only to those 12 years old and older.

Nationally, 67.0 percent of the population 12 or older is vaccinated.

That figure is 56.2 percent in Georgia.

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