The number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the Northeast Health District, which includes Oconee and Clarke counties, increased by 24 in the Wednesday noon Daily Status Report of the Georgia Department of Public Health.
The Wednesday increase is the same number as was shown from Monday to the noon Daily Status Report on Tuesday.
The increase on Wednesday was down from 25 on Wednesday a week ago, and the seven-day rolling average of added cases for the Northeast Health District dropped from 22.1 to 22.0 as a result, giving some evidence that the number of cases is flattening at least.
Oconee County added no new cases in the 24-hour period ending at noon on Wednesday, while Clarke added two new cases and Jackson County added seven.
The 10-county Northeast Health District added no deaths with the noon Wednesday Daily Status report.
The state of Georgia added 859 new cases of confirmed COVID-19 in the 24-hour period ending at noon on Wednesday, and the rolling seven-day average of added cases increased from 808.3 to 821.9 because the 859 cases are much greater than the 764 added Wednesday of last week.
The Department of Public Health noon Daily Status Report still contains the misleading charts suggesting that the rolling averages are declining.
The Daily Status Report on Wednesday lists 37 new deaths attributed to the COVID-19 disease, down from 66 on Tuesday and down from 51 on Wednesday a week ago.
The seven-day rolling average, which compensates for the bias in the data resulting from different reporting by day of the week, dropped from 42.6 on Tuesday to 40.6 on Wednesday.
The statewide data show that while the ratio of confirmed COVID-19 cases to tests reporting is declining as the number of tests has increased, the ratio of deaths to confirmed cases is increasing.
Chart 1 below plots the cumulative number of confirmed COVID-19 cases across time for the 10-county Northeast Health District (blue line, right-hand vertical axis) and for Oconee and Clarke counties (green and orange lines, respectively, left-hand vertical axis.)
The table at the bottom includes the data for all 10 of the counties beginning with the discovery of the first case in the region (in Clarke County) on March 14.
The number of deaths for each of the 10 counties is listed in the box at the top, left of the chart.
The data have been updated to include the numbers included in the noon Wednesday Daily Status Report.
|Chart 1 (Click To Enlarge)|
Chart 2 below shows the actual number of new reported confirmed COVID-19 cases across time in the Northeast Health District, with the blue line showing the actual count and the orange line showing the rolling or moving seven-day average.
The lines have been updated to include the numbers included in the noon Wednesday Daily Status Report.
|Chart 2 (Click To Enlarge)|
Chart 3 below summarizes the cumulative data from the state of Georgia on four indicators: number of confirmed COVID-19 cases, number of deaths attributed to COVID-19, number of tests for the disease, and number of hospitalizations for treatment of the disease.
The charts begin on March 2, when the first cases were discovered in Atlanta. Measures of tests and hospitalizations are included from the point at which the Daily Status Report provided those data.
Each of the four charts has been updated to include the numbers included in the noon Wednesday Daily Status Report.
|Chart 3 (Click To Enlarge)|
Chart 4 below provides the actual number of confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths attributable to the disease going back to March 2 for the state of Georgia. Those data are plotted with the blue lines.
The orange lines are based on computation of the rolling or moving seven-day averages for confirmed cases and deaths.
The two charts have been updated to include the numbers included in the noon Wednesday Daily Status Report.
|Chart 4 (Click To Enlarge)|
Chart 5 below is a revision of a chart I used last week. It is updated based on data through the noon Daily Status Report for Wednesday.
The blue line shows that the percentage of confirmed cases per test has declined in recent days as the number of tests has increased. These are cumulative figures, so it takes a lot of change to move the line.
The orange line shows that the percentage of confirmed cases resulting in hospitalizations has increased slightly in recent days.
The black line shows that the percentage of deaths per confirmed cases also has increased in the last week.
|Chart (Click To Enlarge)|