Sunday, July 12, 2020

Oconee And Clarke Counties Add Confirmed COVID-19 Cases As Daily Status Report Lists 50 New Cases In Northeast Health District

***No New Deaths Recorded***

Oconee County added nine new cases of COVID-19 in the Daily Status Report on Sunday, and Clarke County added 14. The remaining eight counties in the Northeast Health District added 27 cases, bringing the total for the District to 50.

The 50 added cases were fewer than the 61 added last Sunday, and the seven-day rolling average of added cases dropped to 96.1 on Sunday from 97.7 on Saturday.

Each of the counties in the 10-county Northeast Health District added at least one case on Sunday with the exception of Greene County.

The Northeast Health District did not report any new deaths attributable to the disease on Sunday and, in fact, one case reported for Barrow County on Saturday was moved to Gwinnett County with the Sunday Daily Status Report.

Gwinnett County is not in the Northeast Health District, so the seven-day rolling average of added deaths in the Northeast Health District dropped to 1.1 from 1.3 on Saturday.

The Georgia Emergency Management Agency Situation Report COVID-19 on Sunday listed 14 Critical Care Beds available in area hospitals, up from six on Saturday.

The Department of Community Health did not issue a Long-Term Care Facility Report on Sunday.

State Data

The Daily Status Report on Sunday listed 2,525 new confirmed COVID-19 cases in the state, and the seven-day rolling average increased to 3,058.6 from 3,011.7 on Saturday.

The state added five deaths, and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths increased to 20.1 from 19.9 on Sunday. Sundays usually show few new deaths, and three were recorded on Sunday a week ago.

Four of those five deaths occurred in the last 14 days, and the fifth occurred on April 14, or nearly three months ago. The Department of Public Health never explains the dating of deaths or the lag in recording them.

I can see these changes in the data file only be looking at and recording each day the data points behind the chart on deaths in the Daily Status Report.

The Georgia Emergency Management Agency reported 2,512 Confirmed COVID-19 Hospitalizations in its report on Sunday, up by 66 from the report on Saturday. This is the highest level ever recorded.

The Georgia Emergency Management Agency also reported that 1,026 ventilators are in use, up by nine ventilators from Saturday’s report. This also is the highest number ever reported by the Agency.

Methodological Note

The Daily Status Report does not release data for the 10-county Northeast Health District, but it does release data by county.

Each day, I collect the data for the 10 counties that make up the Northeast Health District for my daily summary.

These data are in several different downloadable files released with the Daily Status Report. (Originally, it was necessary to copy the data from the raw online listings in the Daily Status Report.)

The Department of Community Health also does not report data for the Northeast Health District. It does report data by long-term care facility name and county, and I collect the listings for the 10 counties in the Northeast Health District for my posts.

The Georgia Emergency Management Agency does not release data by county, but it does release data clustered for its 12-county Region E, which includes the 10 counties of the Northeast Health District plus Hart and Franklin counties. I report these regional data.

Moved To Gwinnett

On Sunday, when the Daily Status Report removed one death from Barrow County, I compared the data I had recorded from Saturday with those released on Sunday to see that the Sunday file removed an 87-year-old White Male with a chronic condition from the listing.

Since there were only five new deaths in the state, it was relatively easy to identify the counties out of the 159 in the state that had added deaths by comparing the state listings of deaths for Saturday and Sunday.

It turns out that DeKalb, in addition to Barrow, had lost a death, but there were six counties that had added deaths: Bartow, Bibb, Cobb, Gwinnett, Rockdale, and White counties. Bartow had gained two deaths, and the others one each.

Only Cobb and Gwinnett counties had an 87-year-old White Male with a chronic condition listed among its COVID-19 deaths.

By comparing the death list from Saturday with the death list from Sunday for those two conties, I could see that Gwinnett County, which borders Barrow County, added an 87-year-old White male with a chronic condition–matching the death removed from Barrow County.

Cobb did not add a new listing for an 87-year-old White male with a chronic condition.

None of these details are explained by the Department of Public Health, but in this case the conclusion that the Barrow death from Saturday was moved to Gwinnett on Sunday seems extremely likely.

I also know from the data behind the chart on deaths in the Daily Status Report on Sunday that no deaths were eliminated from the archive.

Charts

The first four charts below are based on data from the Department of Public Health Daily Status Report and have been updated based on data released at 2:50 p.m. on Sunday.

The first two charts are for the 10-county Northeast Health District, which includes Oconee and Clarke counties.

Charts 3 and 4 are for the entire state of Georgia.

Chart 5, also for the entire state, is based on data from the Georgia Emergency Management Agency Situation Report COVID-19 and includes data from the Sunday issuance of that report.

Chart 1 (Click To Enlarge)

Chart 2 (Click To Enlarge)

Chart 3 (Click To Enlarge)

Chart 4 (Click To Enlarge)

Chart 5 (Click To Enlarge)

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