Saturday, October 17, 2020

Northeast Health District Adds Four COVID-19 Deaths, 73 Confirmed Cases; Rolling Average For Deaths Unchanged, Drops For Cases

***Three Deaths In Barrow, One in Jackson ***

The Northeast Health District added four COVID-19 deaths and 73 confirmed cases of the disease with the release of the Daily Status Report by the Department of Public Health on Saturday.

The 10-county District had added four deaths on Saturday of last week, and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths remained unchanged at 1.7.

The 73 added cases compared with 108 on last Saturday, and the seven-day rolling average of added cases dropped to 81.9 on Saturday from 86.9 on Friday. The rolling average had increased the last three days before Saturday’s report.

Three of the deaths were in Barrow County. One was a 72-year-old male with a chronic condition, and another was a 72-year-old female without a known chronic condition. The third was of a 76-year-old male with a chronic condition.

The fourth death was of an 83-year-female with a chronic condition in Jackson County.

Eight of the 10 counties in the Northeast Health District added cases, with Oconee County adding five cases and Clarke County adding 16. The seven-day rolling average of added cases increased in Oconee County on Saturday but dropped in Clarke County.

The Georgia Hospital Association (GHA) and the Georgia Emergency Management Agency (GEMA) reported on Saturday the number of COVID-19 patients at area hospitals (58) was down from the day before, that the number of ICU beds in use (65) increased from the day before, and that the number of adult ventilators in use (33) increased from the day before.

Positivity Data

The state has changed the way it reports positivity data by county for the molecular tests.

Tests and positivity rates are recorded by date of administration or verdict. For Saturday, no tests were recorded for either Oconee or Clarke counties, so the positivity rate was 0.0 percent. The same had been the case for Friday.

In the Saturday report, however, two tests were recorded for Friday for Oconee County, neither of which was positive. In Clarke County, 11 tests were recorded for Friday in Saturday’s report, and only one of them was positive.

The recording of tests lags by several days, so it takes several days for a sizeable number of tests to be recorded on any given day. The seven-day rolling average of test positivity reported on Saturday for Thursday was 4.8 percent in Oconee County, when 28 tests were logged. 

That same figure for Clarke County was 5.9 percent, based on 298 cases.

The seven-day rolling average of percent positive tests for Wednesday reported on Saturday was 5.2 percent, and for Clarke County it was 6.2 percent.

As new tests are added, they are back-dated, so the Thursday and Wednesday rates will change as new tests are included in the calculations.

Dating tests by administration or verdict rather than date of reporting gives a more accurate picture of positivity, but it does make reporting about the rates more difficult, for the most recent figures are nearly meaningless.

Chart 3 contains an insert of seven-day rolling averages for a week ending on Thursday for Oconee and Clarke counties based on the data from Saturday.

State Data

Across the state, the Department of Public Health added 51 deaths in the Daily Status Report on Saturday, and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths increased to 31.7 on Saturday from 31.0 on Friday.

Only 24 of those 51 deaths were reported as having occurred in the last 14 days, and one of the deaths was listed as having occurred on Aug. 1.

Even with the early dating of the deaths, the seven-day rolling average of deaths dated by occurrence increased on Saturday from Friday.

The state added 1,554 new confirmed COVID-19 cases on Saturday, pushing up the seven-day rolling average of added cases to 1,341.7 from 1,302.4 on Friday.

The state added 26,398 molecular tests in the Saturday Daily Status Report, and the positivity rates for those tests was 5.7 percent. The seven-day rolling average of that positivity rate was 5.8 percent, up from 5.7 percent on Friday.

Across the state, the Georgia Hospital Association (GHA) and the Georgia Emergency Management Agency (GEMA) reported on Saturday that the number of COVID-19 patients (1,285) decreased from the day before, the number of ICU beds in use (2,253) decreased from the day before, and the number of adult ventilators in use (871) decreased from the day before.

The Department of Community Health does not issue its Long-Term Care Facility Report on the weekends.

Charts

All of the charts below are based on data from the Department of Public Health Daily Status Report and have been updated to include data from the release of that report at 2:50 p.m. on Saturday.

Charts 1 and 2 include data from the 10-county Northeast Health District of the Department of Public Health, which includes Oconee and Clarke counties.

Chart 3 shows data for Oconee and Clarke counties only.

Charts 4 and 5 show data for the entire state of Georgia.

Click on any of the charts to enlarge it.

Chart 1

Chart 2

Chart 3

Chart 4

Chart 5

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