Saturday, January 16, 2021

Northeast Health District Adds Eight COVID-19 Confirmed Deaths As Case Numbers Decline

***Positive Rates Of Molecular Tests Also Dropping***

The Department of Public Health listed eight additional confirmed deaths from COVID-19 in the Northeast Health District in its Saturday Daily Status Report, bringing to 475 the total number of confirmed deaths from the disease in the 10-county District.

The District also added 470 new COVID-19 cases, bringing down the seven-day rolling average of added cases.

The District has added 45 deaths in the last seven days, for a seven-day rolling average of 6.4, up from 5.9 on Friday.

Those 45 deaths represent just less than 10 percent of the total number of death recorded since the first COVID-19 death in the Northeast Health District on March 24 of last year.

Two of the deaths in the Daily Status Report on Saturday were in Clarke County: of a 71-year-old male with a chronic condition and of a 90-plus-year-old male with a chronic condition.

Clarke County had added three COVID-19 deaths in Friday’s Daily Status Report and now has a total of 76 deaths attributed to the disease.

Elbert County reported the death of a 76-year-old male with a chronic condition, the 27th death in that county from the disease.

The Daily Status Report listed the death of a 90-plus-year-old female in Greene County on Saturday, the 27th in that county as well.

Jackson County had a death of a 64-year-old male without a chronic condition in the Report. That county now had 78 deaths attributed to the disease.

Walton County had three COVID-19 deaths listed in Saturday’s Daily Status Report: of a 72-year-old male with a chronic condition, an 82-year-old female without a chronic condition, and an 84-year-old female without a chronic condition.

Walton County had four deaths in Friday’s Daily Status Report and now has 103 confirmed deaths from the disease, the most of any of the 10 counties in the Northeast Health District.

Cases, Hospital Report

With the addition of the 470 new cases of COVID-19 in the Northeast Health District on Saturday, the seven-day rolling average of added cases dropped to 539.1 from 576.3 on Friday.

The seven-day rolling average has now declined three days in a row.

Oconee County added 42 cases on Saturday, and its seven-day-rolling average increased to 39.4 from 38.4 on Friday. Clarke County added 81 cases, and its seven-day rolling average of added cases declined from 117.9 on Friday to 103.6 on Saturday.

The good news of the declines in the rolling averages of added cases across the District as a whole is matched with declines in the positivity rates of molecular tests.

In every county except one in the 10-county Northeast Health District, the seven-day rolling average of positivity on last Wednesday was lower than the rate a week earlier. Morgan County was the sole exception, where the rate stayed the same.

In Oconee County, the rate dropped from 27.7 percent on Jan. 6 to 20.4 percent on Jan. 13. In Clarke County, the decline was from 19.8 to 18.0 percent.

The positivity data are based on actual date of the test, so I used data from the middle of the week to give a little more time for tests to be recorded.

Deaths lag cases, so the data suggest that the very high level of reported deaths should drop in coming days as well.

The Department of Community Health does not release its Long-Term Care Facility Report on the weekends.

Oconee County Schools releases a summary report on cases in the schools only once a week–on Fridays. The Report on Friday shows large increases in the number of Active Case and Active Quarantines.

After the report on Friday, principals at both North Oconee High School and Oconee County High School have reported additional cases, according to emails from those principals forwarded to me.

Because the school system does not make a report to the public, I can only report here what I learn from the parents who receive the email messages from school principals and forward them to me.

The Georgia Hospital Association (GHA) and the Georgia Emergency Management Agency (GEMA) reported on Saturday that the number of COVID-19 patients at area hospitals (287) was the same as on Friday, the number of ICU beds in use (82) decreased by one from the day before, and the number of adult ventilators in use (42) increased by one from the day before.

State Data

The Saturday Daily Status Report listed a total of 154 confirmed deaths from COVID-19 across the state, and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths from the disease increased to 108.0 from 100.3 on Friday.

Click To Enlarge

Seventy-six of those added deaths occurred in the last 14 days, and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths based on date of occurrence increased on Saturday over Friday.

The Department of Public Health eliminated three deaths it had previously listed as attributed to COVID-19, and it added two “probable deaths” in the Daily Status Report.

Across the state, the Georgia Hospital Association (GHA) and the Georgia Emergency Management Agency (GEMA) reported on Saturday that the number of COVID-19 patients (5,532) decreased from the day before, the number of ICU beds in use (2,758) decreased from the day before, and the number of adult ventilators in use (1,571) decreased from the day before.

The number of COVID-19 patients has fallen each of the last three days.

Vaccines

The Department of Public Health reported on Saturday that 25,591 additional vaccinations had taken place since Friday and that the total number of vaccinations in the state now is 393,970.

The 25,591 additional vaccinations are down slightly from the 42,323 reported on Friday.

The number of doses of the vaccines allocated to the state and shipped remained unchanged from Friday.

The vaccinations have been received by 3.6 percent of the state’s population.

Data on vaccinations are not available at the county level.

Charts

Chart 1 below shows the seven-day rolling average of the addition of COVID-19 molecular and antigen cases for the Northeast Health District and for the state of Georgia since Nov. 3, when the state first began reporting antigen test results.

Charts 2 and 3 report actual deaths reported from the disease and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths.

The data come from the Department of Public Health Daily Status Report and have been updated for the 2:50 p.m. Report on Saturday.

Click on any of the charts to enlarge it.

Chart 1
Chart 2
Chart 3

 

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