Saturday, January 23, 2021

Northeast Health District Adds Seven COVID-19 Deaths And 651 Cases; Added Death Rolling Average Down, Case Average Up

***Area Hospitals Report Increase In COVID-19 Patients***

The Northeast Health District recorded seven confirmed deaths from COVID-19 and 651 new cases of the disease on Saturday with release of the Department of Public Health Daily Status Report .

In a reversal of trends, the seven-day rolling average of confirmed deaths fell slightly, while the seven-day rolling average of added cases increased.

The Daily Status Report listed the death of a 69-year-old female in Barrow County without a chronic condition, bringing to 87 the number of deaths from the disease in that county.

Elbert County recorded its 31st death from COVID-19, of an 80-year-old male with a chronic condition.

The Daily Status Report listed a death of a 68-year-old male in Jackson County with a chronic condition. The death was the 87th in the county from the disease.

Walton County had four deaths listed in the Daily Status Report: a 73-year-old female without a chronic condition, a 78-year-old female without a chronic condition, an 80-year-old male with a chronic condition, and a 90-plus-year-old female without a chronic condition.

Walton County now has 119 deaths from the disease, by far the largest number of any of the 10 counties in the District. Walton County’s deaths per 100,000 population rate (124.2), however, is third highest in the District, behind Elbert County’s 163.6 and Greene County’s 149.6.

With the addition of the seven confirmed deaths in the Saturday Daily Status Report, the seven-day rolling average of added deaths dropped to 7.1 from 7.3 on Friday. The District had eight deaths listed in last Saturday’s Daily Status Report.

The Daily Status Report also listed one death in Walton County labeled as “probable” in terms of it being caused by COVID-19. The Report does not include any information on the characteristics of “probable deaths.”

Cases, Hospital Report

The addition of the 651 new cases of COVID-19 pushed up the seven-day rolling average of added cases to 446.6 on Saturday from 420.7 on Friday.

That rolling average had dropped for seven days in a row, ending with an increase on Thursday. The average then decreased on Friday before increasing again on Saturday.

Oconee County added 43 cases on Saturday, and Clarke County added 164.

The seven-day rolling average of added cases increased just slightly in Oconee County on Saturday from 26.7 on Friday to 26.9. In Clarke County, the rolling average increased from 77.0 on Friday to 88.9 on Saturday.

The rolling averages of added cases in Oconee and Clarke also have been on a downward trend before turning up (if only slightly in Oconee County) on Saturday.

I have received notices from parents of two positive tests–at Malcom Bridge Elementary School and Malcom Bridge Middle School–since the official report of the schools on Friday afternoon.

The Georgia Hospital Association (GHA) and the Georgia Emergency Management Agency (GEMA) reported on Saturday that the number of COVID-19 patients at area hospitals (267) increased by two from the day before, the number of ICU beds in use (82) was the same as the day before, and the number of adult ventilators in use (59) increased by two from the day before.

The number of COVID-19 patients–the best measure of COVID-19's impact on area hospitals-- has increased three days in a row after having decreased four days in a row.

The normal ICU bed capacity of area hospitals is 70, and the hospitals have reported exceeding that capacity every day since Jan. 3.

State Data

The Daily Status Report added 128 new confirmed deaths across the state of Georgia on Saturday, and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths dropped to 111.4 from 115.1 on Friday. On Saturday of last week, the state added 154 deaths.

Eighty-thee of the added deaths occurred in the last 14 days, and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths dated by occurrence increased sharply on Saturday. It has now increased five days in a row.

The Daily Status Report also added 59 “probable deaths” from the virus, and the seven-day rolling average of added “probable deaths” increased to 26.6 on Saturday from 18.6 a day earlier. That rolling average is the highest it has ever been since the state started reporting “probable deaths” on Nov. 3.

The state added 9.322 new cases of COVID-19, and the seven-day rolling average of added cases increased to 7,781.6 on Saturday from 7,712.3 on Friday.

Across the state, the Georgia Hospital Association (GHA) and the Georgia Emergency Management Agency (GEMA) reported on Saturday that the number of COVID-19 patients (5,021) decreased from the day before, the number of ICU beds in use (2,820) increased from the day before, and the number of adult ventilators in use (1,661) decreased from the day before.

The Department of Public Health reported adding only 4,678 new COVID-19 vaccinations on Saturday, down from 55,362 on Friday, and the total number of vaccinations in the state is now 651,478. It isn’t possible to know how many of those are first versus second doses.

The state has been allocated 1,131,425 doses of the vaccine, and almost all of the allocated doses (1,125,525) have now been shipped. These figures are the same as on Friday.

The 651,478 administered doses represent 57.9 percent of the doses shipped.

The Department of Community Health does not issue its Long-Term Care Facility Report on the weekends.

Charts

The charts below show the seven-day rolling average of the addition of COVID-19 molecular and antigen cases combined for the Northeast Health District and for the state of Georgia since Nov. 3, when the state first began reporting antigen test results.

The data in the charts come from the Department of Public Health Daily Status Report and have been updated for the 2:50 p.m. Report on Saturday.

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