***Northeast District Adds 24 Cases***
Both Walton and Jackson counties reported additional deaths from COVID-19 in the Daily Status Report of the Georgia Department of Public Health released just after noon on Friday.
A 77-year-old female in Jackson County and a 56-year-old male in Walton County were included in what now is a list of 29 COVID-19 deaths in the Department of Public Health Northeast Health District, which includes Oconee and Clarke counties.
Overall, the district added 24 new COVID-19 cases with the 12:25 p.m. Friday Daily Status Report, including four in Oconee County and four in Clarke County.
The seven-day rolling average of added cases in the Northeast Health District stood at 22.4, a drop from 23.9 on Thursday.
Sheriff Scott Berry reported that the Georgia Emergency Management Agency informed him that five new Active COVID-19 cases were added to Oconee County on Friday, bringing the total of Active Cases in Oconee to 19.
It is not possible to reconcile without additional information not made public the figures from the Daily Status Report and from the Emergency Management Agency, though both come from the Department of Public Health.
UPDATE: The Georgia Department of Public Health issued a Long-Term Care Facility COVID-19 Report late on Friday that lists High Shoals Health and Rehabilitation nursing home on New High Shoals Road in North High Shoals as having one COVID Positive Resident among the 81 residents and one COVID Positive Staff. It is the first Oconee County facility to be listed on the Report.
Across the state, 1,101 confirmed COVID-19 cases were added between 11:25 a.m. on Thursday and 12.25 p.m. on Friday in the Daily Status Report, bringing the seven-day rolling average of added cases to 712.4, up from 645.9 on Thursday. The Daily Status Report also shows testing greatly expanding in the state.
The Daily Status Report no longer is using a consistent release time, and no 11:25 a.m. update was provided on Friday.
The Daily Status Report also now includes two estimates of new cases, and both show growth in cases in recent days.
The Daily Status Report listed 40 new deaths on Friday, bringing the total to 1,147 and the seven-day-rolling average up to 36.4 from 33.6 on Thursday.
Local Data Charts
Chart 1 below plots the cumulative number of confirmed COVID-19 cases across time for the 10-county Northeast Health District (orange line, left-hand vertical axis) and for the state of Georgia (blue line, right-hand vertical axis.)
The number of active cases in Oconee County is shown in the box at the top, left. Oconee County Sheriff Scott Berry receives these data as head of the county’s 911 Center and began releasing the data to the public on April 26.
The estimate of the number of Active Cases is based on the information Sheriff Berry initially released with the reports of new Active Cases. He has ceased providing that information and now is only reporting each day on the number of new cases provided to him by the Georgia Emergency Management Agency.
Cases expire 21 days after they are released to the 911 Center.
The chart is updated to include the raw data on confirmed cases from the 12:25 p.m. Friday Daily Status Report.
|Chart 1 (Click To Enlarge)|
Chart 2 below shows the actual number of new reported confirmed COVID-19 cases across time in the Northeast Health District, with the blue line showing the actual count and the orange line showing the rolling or moving seven-day average.
The lines have been updated to include the numbers included in the Friday Daily Status Report released at 12:25 p.m.
|Chart 2 (Click To Enlarge)|
Chart 3 below provides data from the 12:25 p.m. Friday Daily Status Report for the 10 counties in the Northeast Health District.
New deaths were reported in Greene and Walton counties.
The Daily Status Report on Friday resumed reporting on the characteristics of those whose deaths have been attributed to the COVID-19 disease.
I have listed all 29 cases and highlighted the two that were added on Friday.
In the past, the Daily Status Report referred to conditions as “Underlying Conditions.” The new term is “Chronic Condition.”
|Chart 3 (Click To Enlarge)|
State Data Charts
Chart 4 below summarizes the cumulative data from the state of Georgia on four indicators: number of confirmed COVID-19 cases, number of deaths attributed to COVID-19, number of tests for the disease, and number of hospitalizations for treatment of the disease.
The charts begin on March 2, when the first cases were discovered in Atlanta. Measures of tests and hospitalizations are included from the point at which the Daily Status Report provided those data.
The chart at the top-left differs from Chart 1 in that it goes back further in time.
Each of the four charts has been updated to include the numbers included in the 12:25 p.m. Friday Daily Status Report.
|Chart 4 (Click To Enlarge)|
Chart 5 below provides the actual number of confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths in Georgia attributable to the disease going back to March 2. Those data are plotted with the blue lines.
The orange lines are based on computation of the rolling or moving seven-day averages for confirmed cases and deaths.
The two charts have been updated to include the numbers included in the 12:25 p.m. Friday Daily Status Report.
|Chart 5 (Click To Enlarge)|
Chart 6 below is based on data I extracted from the chart in the Daily Status Report showing confirmed cases based on a reclassification of those cases by the Department of Public Health by estimated date of occurrence of the symptoms.
The Daily Status Report releases a new number of confirmed cases each day, and I have used those data in Charts 4 and 5.
The Daily Status Report also releases a chart of confirmed cases based on its estimate on when the case first appeared. It does not release those raw data, but it is possible to extract them by sliding the marker on the chart back in time.
I have done that using the Daily Status Report on Thursday and again on Friday.
The chart and table below shows how the initial estimates of cases are increasing across time as new cases are added.
I used data from the most recent period, because this is the period that the Department of Health has flagged as tentative.
In fact, the procedure moves cases back in time across the board.
The Department of Public Health added three cases to its March 3 estimate from Thursday to Friday.
The chart shows that what initially appears to be a strong decline in cases is largely a reflection of how the data are being presented.
It will take several weeks to know if the decline, based on the estimate of the occurrence of symptoms, is real.
|Chart 6 (Click To Enlarge)|