The Northeast Health District added 39 cases of confirmed COVID-19 with the noon Daily Status Report on Saturday, the largest number it added in a 24-hour period since April 7 and the second largest number added in a 24-hour-period going back to the advent of the disease in the district on March 14.
Barrow County added 13 cases, Jackson added 10, Clarke added five, and Oconee County added a single case.
The region added no new deaths, and the total stands at 29.
Oconee County Sheriff Scott Berry reported on Saturday that the Georgia Emergency Management Agency sent him addresses for two new Active COVID-19 cases in the county.
Berry has reported adding Active Cases in five of the last seven days, with five cases added on Friday. The number of Active Cases is 20.
The Georgia Department of Public Health issued a Long-Term Care Facility COVID-19 Report late on Friday that lists High Shoals Health and Rehabilitation on New High Shoals Road as having one COVID Positive Resident and one COVID Positive Staff.
This is the first report of a COVID-19 case in an Oconee County nursing or personal care facility.
Across the state, the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases increased by 999 at noon on Saturday, and the seven-day rolling average went up from 712.4 on Friday to 776.9 on Saturday.
The state reported 24 new deaths attributed to COVID-19 on Saturday, bringing the total to 1,171 and increasing the seven-day rolling average from 36.4 on Friday to 38.1.
Though testing has increased across the state in recent days, no new tests were recorded with the noon Daily Status Report on Saturday since issuance of the noon Daily Status Report on Friday.
Across time, the charts I have been using have gotten increasingly difficult to read. Updating them also is very time consuming.
This blog contains three simplified charts that plot added confirmed cases of COVID-19 for the Northeast Health District, added confirmed cases of COVID-19 for the state of Georgia, and added deaths attributed to COVID-19 for the state of Georgia. The most recent data are taken from the 11:25 a.m. Daily Status Report for Saturday.
In each of these charts, I also have shown the seven-day-rolling or moving averages. It is clear now that the data vary quite a bit by day of the week, and the seven-day averages smooth out that variability.
I also have supplemented these three charts with two others.
Chart 2 below shows data from the Department of Public Health Long-Term Care Facility Report of March 28 and from the same report issued late on May 1 for the 10-county Northeast Health District.
Two new nursing homes were added to the May 1 report that had not been in the March 28 report because they did not have any COVID-19 cases at that time.
Those are High Shoals Health and Rehabilitation, 3450 New High Shoals Road, and Pruitthealth--Athens Heritage.
According to the May 1 Long-Term Care Facility Report, the Oconee County nursing home has 81 residents.
Chart 2 shows that in the period from issuance of the March 28 report and issuance of the May 1 report the number of COVID-19 Positive Residents increased in the Northeast Health District from 92 to 107, the number of deaths remained the same, and the number of COVID Positive Staff increased from 41 to 43.
Chart 5 Explained
Chart 5 below reports on the new data added to the chart in the Daily Status Report that plots confirmed cases not be the date they are listed in the Daily Status Report but by an estimate of when the disease of the case first occurred.
This backdating of cases makes it appear as if the number of cases has dropped dramatically, and the Daily Status Report acknowledges in a footnote that the data are incomplete.
Over the last three days, I have plotted how the data are being filled in as new cases are added.
The light grey line shows that what had appeared to be a day with relatively few cases in fact was a day for which little data were available.
April 27, for example, now has 735 cases, not the 318 shown two days ago.
The added cases push the lines plotting the number of confirmed cases higher, making it less clear that the simple plotting of added cases in Chart 3 gives a mistaken impression of the progression of the disease in the state.
|Chart 1 (Click To Enlarge)|
|Chart 2 (Click To Enlarge)|
|Chart 3 (Click To Enlarge)|
|Chart 4 (Click To Enlarge)|
|Chart 5 (Click To Enlarge)|