Monday, June 15, 2020

Area Showing Growth In COVID-19 Cases And Deaths, But Not At The High Rate For State As A Whole

***Area Long-Term Care Facilities Add Cases, But No New Deaths***

While Georgia continued to show growth in the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths on Monday, the 10-county Northeast Health District–which includes Oconee and Clarke Counties–witnessed a slight drop in averge number of cases and a consistent level of COVID-19 deaths.

The 10-county district added 23 new confirmed cases of COVID-19, but that number was down from the 33 added a week ago, and the seven-day rolling average of added cases dropped to 20.6 on Monday from 22.0 on Sunday.

Seven of the 10 counties in the District added cases, including Oconee County, which added two cases, and Clarke County, which added six cases.

Only Walton County added a death–a 77-year-old male with a known chronic condition–and the seven-day rolling average of deaths added remained unchanged at 1.7 deaths per day.

These findings are from the Department of Public Health Daily Status Report, but the Department of Community Health and the Georgia Emergency Management Agency released COVID-19 reports on Monday as well.

The Department of Community Health Long-Term Care Facility Report showed that the cumulative number of confirmed COVID-19 residents in the area’s 23 long-term care facilities with evidence of the disease increased by 13 on Monday over the Friday Report.

The number of active cases as these facilities actually dropped, however, from 206 on Friday to 190 on Monday because of the recovery of residents at the facilities.

The facilities reported no new COVID-19 deaths over the weekend.

The Georgia Emergency Management Agency released its Situation Report COVID-19 for Saturday, Sunday and Monday on Monday, showing that number of Critical Care Beds at area hospitals remained stable over the weekend,

Area governmental and legislative leaders issued a report on Friday, saying that local health care providers are in a "strong position" to deliver care to area patients.

State Data

The Department of Public Health Daily Status Report on Monday added 733 new confirmed cases of COVID-19 across the state, and the seven-day rolling average increased again to 845.3 cases per day.

The state, as shown in Chart 5 below, clearly is on growth spurt in the number of new cases going back to the end of May.

The Daily Status Report added 43 new deaths attributed to COVID-19 on Monday, and the seven-day average of added deaths increased from 38.7 on Sunday to 40.9 on Monday.

Over the last week, as Chart 6 below shows, the state has seen dramatic increases in death attributed to the disease.

The Department of Public Health reported that 41 of the 43 new deaths added on Monday occurred in the last 14 days, and 18 of them occurred in the last week. Those numbers likely will increase as more reports of death are processed by the agency.

The Department of Community Health reported on Monday that COVID-19 cases were present in 434 long-term care facilities around the state, up from 432 on Friday.

The Georgia Emergency Management Agency reported that the state had 865 Current Confirmed COVID-19 Hospitalization in its Monday evening report, up from 829 on Sunday and 810 on Saturday.

The Georgia Emergency Management Agency also reported that 852 ventilators were in use on Monday up from 796 on Sunday and from 837 on Saturday.

Local Statement

Oconee County posted on its website Monday a statement from Board of Commissioners Chair John Daniell, Athens-Clarke County Mayor Kelly Girtz, and Winterville Mayor Dodd Ferrelle.

The statement also was signed by state Senators Bill Cowsert and Frank Ginn, and state Representatives Spencer Frye, Houston Gaines and Marcus Wiedower

The group reported that it had held a conference call on Sunday with “our local hospitals and healthcare providers for the latest updates on COVID-19."

“We continue to hear that hospitalizations and other data points remain stable, and our providers remain in a strong position to deliver care to all patients,” the statement said.

“Fortunately, the brief spike we saw locally a couple of weeks ago due to nursing home patients has subsided,” the statement continued. “Nursing homes are in a stronger position to combat the spread and have been able to better address this challenge.

“Additionally, as more research has become available, physicians are better able to treat positive patients,” the statement continues. “While there is no single cure, we are seeing less patients end up in ICU and less patients requiring ventilators.”

“Finally, we must remember to continue to be smart,” the group writes. “COVID-19 is still active, and as we continue to reopen, we must remain vigilant.”

Charts

Charts 1, 2, 5, and 6 below are based on the Department of Public Health Daily Status Report and are updated with data from the 2:50 p.m. release of that report on Monday,

Charts 1 and 2 are for the 10-county Department of Public Health Northeast Health District, and Charts 5 and 6 are for the state of Georgia as a whole.

Chart 3 is based on data from the Department of Community Health Long-Term Care Facility Report, updated for the report released on Monday.

Data for the 10 counties in the Department of Public Health Northeast Health District have been extracted from the Department of Community Health report and are shown in the chart.

Chart 4 is based on data from the Georgia Emergency Management Agency Situation Report for 10 counties in the Northeast Health District plus Hart and Franklin counties. The chart has been updated for the report released on Monday.

Chart 1 (Click To Enlarge)

Chart 2 (Click To Enlarge)

Chart 3 (Click To Enlarge)

Chart 4 (Click To Enlarge)

Chart 5 (Click To Enlarge)

Chart 6 (Click To Enlarge)

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