Monday, January 25, 2021

State Reports List Four COVID-19 Deaths In Northeast Health District And 209 New Cases Of Disease

Rolling Average Of Added Cases Declines

The Northeast Health District added 209 new COVID-19 cases on Monday, according to the Department of Public Health, and the seven-day rolling average of added cases dropped for the second day in a row.

The District added two confirmed deaths in the Department of Public Health Daily Status Report, and the seven-day rolling average of added confirmed deaths remained unchanged.

The Department of Community Health also reported two deaths at area long term care facilities on Monday.

The confirmed deaths listed in the Daily Status Report were of a 68-year-old female in Madison County and of a 75-year-old female in Walton County. Nether had a chronic condition.

Madison County now has 25 confirmed deaths from COVID-19 and Walton County now has 120, by far the most of any of the counties in the 10-county Northeast Health District. Walton County follows Elbert County in deaths per population.

The Northeast Health District as a whole now has 527 confirmed deaths, and the seven-day rolling average of added confirmed deaths on Monday was 7.1, the same as it had been on Saturday and Sunday.

The deaths listed by the Department of Community Health in its Long-Term Care Facility Report were at The Oaks–Athens Skilled Nursing in Clarke County and at Great Oaks personal care home in Walton County. The Department of Community Affairs does not list characteristics of the deceased.

The Department of Public Health distributes the Long-Term Care Facility Report, but it does not treat deaths listed in that report as confirmed.

Cases, Hospital Report

The addition of the 209 new COVID-19 cases resulted in a drop in the seven-day rolling average of added cases to 430.6 on Monday from 438.9 on Sunday.

Oconee County added eight new COVID-19 cases, and Clarke County added 31. The seven-day rolling average of added cases fell slightly in Oconee County to 24.0 from 24.7 on Sunday. In Clarke County, the seven-day rolling average dropped to 85.6 from 87.3 on Sunday.

Oconee County Schools sent notices to parents of students in North Oconee High School and in Malcom Bridge Middle School on Monday informing them of “two individuals” in each of the schools who had tested positive for COVID-19.

Malcom Bridge Middle School has had four cases since the last official report by Oconee County Schools on Friday, and the system as a whole has had eight cases.

That count almost certainly is incomplete. It is based only on emails forwarded to me by parents at the schools, as the school administrators release a report only once a week–on Fridays–reporting the number of active cases on that date.

On Friday, the school reported 28 Active Cases, down from 40 the week before.

The Department of Community Health on Monday reported nine new cases of COVID-19 among residents at long-term care facilities in the Northeast Health District and five new cases of staff with the disease.

Two of the resident cases were at The Oaks Skilled Nursing in Clarke County, and seven cases were at Savannah Court of Lake Oconee personal care home in Greene County.

The staff cases were at homes in Barrow, Elbert, and Greene counties.

The Georgia Hospital Association (GHA) and the Georgia Emergency Management Agency (GEMA) reported on Monday that the number of COVID-19 patients at area hospitals (256) decreased by six from the day before, the number of ICU beds in use (79) decreased by three from the day before, and the number of adult ventilators in use (51) decreased by six from the day before.

State Data

Across the state, the Department of Public Health listed 4,120 new cases of COVID-19 on Monday, and the seven-day rolling average of added cases dropped to 7,402.9 from 7,555.6 on Sunday.

The Daily Status Report listed 53 new deaths attributed to COVID-19, and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths fell to 110.0 on Monday from 111.4 on Sunday.

Only 18 of the added deaths occurred in the last 14 days, and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths listed by date of occurrence dropped on Monday from Sunday.

The Daily Status Report did not list any additional “probable deaths” from COVID-19 on Monday, and the seven-day rolling average of added “probable deaths” dropped from 26.4 to 26.3. The Daily Status Report has listed one “probable death” on Monday of last week.

Across the state, the Georgia Hospital Association (GHA) and the Georgia Emergency Management Agency (GEMA) reported on Monday that the number of COVID-19 patients (4,879) decreased from the day before, the number of ICU beds in use (2,703) decreased from the day before, and the number of adult ventilators in use (1,595) was unchanged from the day before.

The Department of Public Health reported adding 18,466 new COVID-19 vaccinations on Monday, up from 5,023 on Sunday, and the total number of vaccinations in the state is now 674,967. It isn’t possible to know how many of those are first versus second doses.

The Department of Public Health also reported that an additional 190,575 doses had been added to the state’s allocation, and that an additional 74,075 doses have been shipped.

The number of enrolled providers of the vaccine also increased on Monday to 1,930 from 1,837 on Sunday. That number has increased from 1,225 on Jan. 4, when the Department of Public Health first began releasing data on vaccine administration in the state.

Data still are not being released at the county level.

The Department of Community Health listed 713 long-term care facilities in the state with COVID-19 among their residents and/or staff, down from 717 when the last report was released on Friday.

The decrease represents a flaw in reporting for the Long-Term Care Facility Report.

Once a home has had a case, it is supposed to report every day to the Department of Community Health, but homes skip days.

As examples, Gateway Gardens Assisted Living and memory Care personal care home in Barrow County and Brookside commerce LLC personal care home in Jackson County did not report on Monday.

When a facility in the Northeast Health District does not report, I use the data from the most recent report to determine the increases in deaths and cases in long-term care facilities in the Northeast Health District.

This type of extrapolation is standard in reporting of this sort, but it is not followed by the Department of Community Health. 

Charts

The charts below show the seven-day rolling average of the addition of COVID-19 molecular and antigen cases combined for the Northeast Health District and for the state of Georgia since Nov. 3, when the state first began reporting antigen test results.

The data in the charts come from the Department of Public Health Daily Status Report and have been updated for the 2:50 p.m. Report on Monday.

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