Friday, March 19, 2021

Rolling Averages Of COVID-19 Deaths And Cases Increase In Northeast Health District; Oconee School COVID-19 Cases, Quarantines Increase

***Oconee Cases Outpace Those In Clarke***

The seven-day rolling average of added COVID-19 confirmed deaths and cases increased in the Northeast Health District on Friday, as the District added three deaths and 90 new cases of the disease.

Oconee County Schools on Friday reported a near doubling of the number of Active Cases in the system’s 11 schools and an exact doubling of the number of Active Quarantines.

The Department of Public Health, in Friday’s Daily Status Report, listed three confirmed COVID-19 deaths on Friday: of a 70-year-old male in Clarke County, of a 62-year-old female in Barrow County, and of a73-year-old female in Walton County.

None of the three had a chronic condition, and they brought to 120 the total number of deaths from COVID-19 in both Clarke and Barrow counties and to 220 the number in Walton County.

The total number of confirmed deaths from the disease in the 10-county Northeast Health District is now 835, and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths increased to 2.3 from 2.0 on Thursday.

County Cases

With the addition of the 90 new cases of COVID-19 in the Friday Daily Status Report, the seven-day rolling average of added cases increased to 83.9 from 82.0 on Thursday.

Oconee County added 20 cases and Clarke County added 10. The seven-day rolling average of added cases in Oconee County increased to 12.3 from 10.3 on Thursday, while the Clarke County seven-day rolling average dropped to 11.9 from 12.7 on Thursday.

Friday was the first time ever when the seven-day rolling average in Oconee County exceeded that average in Clarke County.

Oconee County has just less than three times the population of Clarke County, and Oconee County’s rate of 7.0 cumulative cases per 100 population remains below that of Clarke, which has 9.5 cases per 100 population.

The Department of Community Health, in its Friday Long-Term Care Facility Report, did not list any new COVID-19 cases or deaths at the long-term care facilities in the Northeast Health District.

School Report

In the Friday Weekly Status Report, Oconee County School Superintendent Jason Branch announced that the schools had 27 Active COVID-19 Cases and 140 Active Quarantines Due To Close Contact.

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Branch reported 14 Active Cases and 70 Active Quarantines a week earlier.

The 27 Active Cases are the most reported since Jan. 22, and the Active Quarantines are the most since Jan. 29. Active Quarantines is the number of individuals in quarantine.

Oconee County Schools does not release any information about the Active Cases or the Active Quarantines, but it does send notes to parents when someone in a school has tested positive for COVID-19.

Since the release of the Weekly Status Report last Friday, parents have forwarded to me notices of eight positive tests at North Oconee High School, seven cases at Malcom Bridge Middle School, and one case at Malcom Bridge Elementary School.

Those figures include three positive tests at Malcom Bridge Middle School and one positive test at North Oconee High School announced on Friday evening.

Oconee County’s increase in cases almost certainly is linked to the increased cases in Oconee County Schools.

The cumulative counts of cases in the county and in Oconee County Schools have run in parallel fashion across time, as would be expected.

Cases at Oconee County Schools and for the county as a whole were on the decline until Feb. 19. At that point, cases began to increase at Oconee County schools and the decline in cases in the county as a whole was halted.

Because the data released to the public by Oconee County Schools and the Department of Public Health are redacted to protect the privacy of the individuals, it is possible only to make rough estimates of these trends.

Hospital Report, Vaccinations

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The Georgia Hospital Association (GHA) and the Georgia Emergency Management Agency (GEMA) reported on Friday that the number of COVID-19 patients at area hospitals (52) decreased by one from the day before, the number of ICU beds in use (65) increased by four from the day before, and the number of adult ventilators in use (38) was unchanged from the day before.

The Northeast Health District added 3,062 new vaccinations on Friday, down from 5,644 on Thursday.

The ratio of number of vaccinations administered per person in the District is 0.21. That compares with a ratio of 0.28 in the state.

The gap between the state and the Northeast Health District increased again on Friday, meaning the District is falling behind the state overall in administration of the vaccines.

State Data

The Daily Status Report added 42 confirmed COVID-19 deaths across the state on Friday, and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths decreased to 39.0 from 40.0 on Thursday.

Twenty-two of the added deaths occurred in the last 14 days, and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths listed by day of occurrence was unchanged on Friday.

The Department of Public Health added two “probable” deaths from COVID-19 in Friday’s Daily Status Report, and the seven-day rolling average of added “probable” deaths increased to 5.1 from 4.9 on Thursday.

Across the state, the Department of Public Health added 1,749 new cases of COVID-19 on Friday, and the seven-day rolling average of added cases decreased to 1,636.9 from 1,638.0 on Thursday.

The Georgia Hospital Association (GHA) and the Georgia Emergency Management Agency (GEMA) reported on Friday that the number of COVID-19 patients (1,253) at the state’s hospitals decreased from the day before, the number of ICU beds in use (2,409) increased from the day before, and the number of adult ventilators in use (1,100) increased from the day before.

The Department of Public Health reported on Friday administration of 88,865 vaccinations, down from 109,867 on Thursday.

The Department of Public Health did not report any new allocation or shipment of doses of the vaccine to the state on Friday.

As of Friday, 96.4 percent of the allocated doses had been shipped, and 82.5 percent of the doses shipped to the state had been administered.

Charts

The charts below show the seven-day rolling average of the addition of COVID-19 molecular and antigen cases combined for the Northeast Health District and for the state of Georgia since Nov. 3, when the state first began reporting antigen test results.

The data in the charts come from the Department of Public Health Daily Status Report and have been updated for the 2:50 p.m. Report on Friday.

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