Saturday, November 28, 2020

Daily Status Report Lists One COVID-19 Death And 162 New Cases In Northeast Health District

***Demographic Analysis Shows Majority Of Clarke Cases Aged 18-29***

The Northeast Health District added a death from COVID-19 on Saturday and 162 new cases of the disease as the Department of Public Health released is Daily Status Report.

The death was of a female in Walton County without a chronic condition identified as 90 or more years of age. The death brings to 77 the number attributed to COVID-19 in Walton County and to 351 the number of deaths from the disease in the 10-County Northeast Health District.

The seven-day rolling average of added deaths in the Northeast Health District dropped to 1.4 on Saturday from 1.9 on Friday.

The Daily Status Report on Saturday also listed a probable death in Jackson County. The Report does not list details of that death.

The Daily Status Report listed 145 new confirmed cases based on molecular tests, and the seven-day rolling average of added cases dropped from 134.9 on Friday to 132.3 on Saturday.

Every county in the 10-county Northeast Health District added cases except Greene. Oconee County added eight cases and Clarke County added 23, and the seven-day rolling average for Oconee County was unchanged from the day before while it fell in Clarke County.

The Department of Public Health also listed 17 cases based on the rapid, and less reliable, antigen test, and the seven-day rolling average of added antigen-positive cases dropped to 24.1 on Saturday from 46.6 on Friday.

Both Oconee and Clarke counties added a single antigen case.

Reporting to the Department of Public Health by laboratories and medical facilities varies by day of the week, and Saturday reporting in the Daily Status Report largely reflects Friday activity, so it is difficult to assess any trend based on the data from the Friday after the Thanksgiving holiday.

Demographic Analysis, Hospital Report

A demographic analysis of cumulative confirmed cases in Oconee County and Clarke County shows that just more than a quarter of the cases (26.2 percent) to date in Oconee County are aged 18-29, but a majority of the Clarke County cases (56.8 percent) are of that university student age group.

In Oconee County, 22.2 percent of the cases are of persons 60 or more years in age, while in Clarke County that percentage is 9.3.

As of Saturday, Clarke County had six times the number of cases in Oconee County (6,641 to 1,021) but only three times the population (129,779 to 41,737).

If the cases in both counties of persons 18-29 are removed, Oconee County has 754 confirmed cases to 2,686 in Clarke County, or a ratio of 3.8, which is closer to the population ratio of 3.1.

Minus the roughly 40,000 students at the University of Georgia, the Clarke County population is just more than double that of Oconee County, so Oconee County’s case rate–minus the students–is higher than Clarke’s.

These are rough estimates, but they show the impact of confirmed COVID-19 cases of those 18-29 in Clarke County.

The Georgia Hospital Association (GHA) and the Georgia Emergency Management Agency (GEMA) reported on Saturday that the number of COVID-19 patients at area hospitals (81) decreased by four from the day before, that the number of ICU beds in use (65) was the same as the day before, and that the number of adult ventilators in use (30) decreased by one from the day before.

State Data

Across the state, the Department of Public Health reported on Saturday 29 deaths attributed to COVID-19, and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths dropped to 23.9 from 25.1 on Friday.

Seventeen of those deaths were in the last 14 days, and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths based on date of occurrence was unchanged on Saturday from Friday.

The state also reported 15 probable deaths from COVID-19, and the seven-day rolling average of probable deaths increased to 13.4 on Saturday from 11.9 on Friday.

The Daily Status Report on Saturday listed 2,683 new confirmed cases of COVID-19 based on molecular testing across the state, and the seven-day rolling average of added confirmed cases declined from 2,443.3 on Friday to 2,390.4 on Saturday.

The state added 503 new cases based on antigen testing on Saturday, and the seven-day rolling average of added cases identified through the rapid test dropped to 712.7 on Saturday from 1,108.0 on Friday.

Across the state, the Georgia Hospital Association (GHA) and the Georgia Emergency Management Agency (GEMA) reported on Saturday that the number of COVID-19 patients (2,033) increased from the day before, the number of ICU beds in use (2,328) decreased from the day before, and the number of adult ventilators in use (854) increased from the day before.

The Department of Community Health did not issue a Long-Term Care Facility Report on Saturday.

Charts

All of the charts below are based on data from the Department of Public Health Daily Status Report and have been updated to include data from the release of that report at 2:50 p.m. on Saturday.

Charts 1 and 2 include data from the 10-county Northeast Health District of the Department of Public Health, which includes Oconee and Clarke counties.

Chart 3 shows data for Oconee and Clarke counties in the main chart and in the inserted chart.

Charts 4 and 5 show data for the entire state of Georgia.

Click on any of the charts to enlarge it.

Chart 1

Chart 2

Chart 3

Chart 4

Chart 5

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