Thursday, March 04, 2021

Northeast Health District Adds 163 New COVID-19 Cases, Six Deaths From Disease; Rolling Averages Decline

***Positivity Rates And Number Of Tests Drop In Oconee, Clarke***

With the addition of 163 new COVID-19 cases in the Northeast Health District on Thursday, the seven-day rolling average of added cases fell slightly, halting an eight-day increase in the average.

The District added six deaths, and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths also dropped on Thursday.

For the second day in a row, one of the added confirmed deaths in the Department of Public Health Daily Status Report was in Clarke County: a 62-year-old female without a chronic condition.

Clarke County had added two deaths on Wednesday, and, with the Thursday death, its total number of deaths attributed to COVID-19 is now 116.

Barrow County added the death of a 75-year-old male with a chronic condition, and Jackson County added the death of a 64-year-old female without a chronic condition.

The Daily Status Report also listed the deaths of a 77-year-old male in Madison County, an 81-year-old male in Madison County, and an 82-year-old male in Morgan County. None of these three had a chronic condition.

The 10-county Northeast Health District now has 800 confirmed deaths due to COVID-19, and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths dropped to 3.1 on Thursday from 3.6 on Wednesday.

The District added three “probable” deaths from COVID-19. Clarke, Madison and Walton counties each added a death. The characteristics of the “probable” deaths are not included in the Department of Public Health Report.

Cases, Positivity, Tests

With the addition of the 163 new COVID-19 cases in the Northeast Health District on Thursday, the seven-day rolling average of added cases fell to 193.6 from 195.9 on Wednesday.

Oconee County added eight COVID-19 cases on Thursday, and Clarke County added 23. The seven-day rolling average in Oconee County fell to 13.1 from 13.9 on Wednesday, and the rolling average in Clarke County dropped to 29.7 from 32.3 on Wednesday.

While the rolling averages had been increasing in recent days, since the first of the year the declines have been dramatic for the region and for Oconee and Clarke counties.

An analysis of new data now being released by the Department of Public Health shows that this is due both to drops in positivity rates for tests and in the number of tests reported.

Clearly the positivity rates for both molecular (PCR) and antigen tests in both Oconee and Clarke counties have dropped sharply since the first of the year.

In Oconee County, the seven-day rolling average of positivity dropped from 27.0 (molecular) and 25.0 (antigen) in early January to 9.2 (molecular) and 8.3 (antigen) at present.

In Clarke County, the drops were from 20.4 (molecular) and 14.9 (antigen) to 6.8 (molecular) and 3.3 (antigen).

But in both counties, the number of tests also dropped sharply. The seven-day rolling average dropped from 154.1 to 69.3 (molecular) and 39.0 to 11.1 (antigen) in Oconee and from 788.3 to 355.1 (molecular) and 114.9 to 55.3 (antigen) in Clarke County.

Even if the number of tests had not dropped, given the decrease in positivity rates, the number of cases would have fallen. If the current positivity rate were applied to the number of cases in January, the number of positive cases would have fallen from 41.4 to 14.2 in Oconee County and from 161.1 to 53.8 in Clarke County.

The Department of Community Health did not add any new deaths or cases attributed to COVID-19 in the Northeast Health District in its Thursday Long-Term Care Facility Report.

Hospital Report, Vaccinations

The Georgia Hospital Association (GHA) and the Georgia Emergency Management Agency (GEMA) reported on Thursday that the number of COVID-19 patients at area hospitals (71) increased by two from the day before, the number of ICU beds in use (62) increased by one from the day before, and the number of adult ventilators in use (32) increased by one from the day before.

The number of COVID-19 patients in area hospitals had declined eight days in a row before increasing on Thursday.

The Northeast Health District added 2,417 vaccinations on Thursday, up from 1,832 the day before.

The total number of second doses (28,466) represents 5.4 percent of the District’s 530,630 residents, up from 5.1 percent on Wednesday.

The 5.4 percent figure compares with a figure of 8.0 percent for the state’s 10.8 million population.

State Data

Across the state, the Department of Public Health added 3,075 new cases of COVID-19 on Thursday, and the seven-day rolling average of added cases decreased to 3,028.3 from 3,096.4 on Wednesday.

The Daily Status Report added 114 confirmed COVID-19 deaths on Thursday, and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths increased to 69.6 from 68.6 on Wednesday.

Thirty of the added deaths occurred in the last 14 days, and the seven-day rolling average of added deaths dated by occurrence increased on Thursday from the day before.

The Department of Public Health eliminated one death it has previously listed as confirmed deaths from COVID-19.

The Department of Public Health listed 12 “probable” death from COVID-19 in Thursday’s Daily Status Report, and the seven-day rolling average of added “probable” deaths decreased to 11.1 from 13.4 the day before.

The Georgia Hospital Association (GHA) and the Georgia Emergency Management Agency (GEMA) reported on Thursday that the number of COVID-19 patients (1,761) at the state’s hospitals decreased from the day before, the number of ICU beds in use (2,483) increased from the day before, and the number of adult ventilators in use (1,146) decreased from the day before.

The Department of Public Health reported administration of 62,323 new doses of COVID-19 vaccinations on Thursday, up from 50,013 the day before.

The Department of Public Health did not report any new allocations of COVID-19 vaccinations on Thursday, but it did report shipment of an additional 6,750 doses. None of those are the single-dose Johnson and Johnson vaccine.

As of Thursday, 78.1 percent of the doses shipped to the state had been administered.

Charts

The charts below show [positivity rates and number of tests results received for Oconee and Clarke counties and the seven-day rolling average of the addition of COVID-19 molecular and antigen cases combined for the Northeast Health District and for the state of Georgia since Nov. 3, when the state first began reporting antigen test results.

The data in the charts come from the Department of Public Health Daily Status Report and have been updated for the 2:50 p.m. Report on Thursday.

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